Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.158824 0.178774 0.199669 0.223133 0.248691 0.275635 0.306131
2025-02-16 0.133124 0.160248 0.190100 0.225206 0.265172 0.309063 0.360714
2025-02-23 0.116926 0.149145 0.186131 0.231329 0.284656 0.345156 0.418541
2025-03-02 0.099916 0.134686 0.176213 0.228787 0.292854 0.367659 0.460826
2025-03-09 0.087450 0.124065 0.169411 0.228669 0.302961 0.391897 0.505189
2025-03-16 0.076651 0.114216 0.162370 0.227182 0.310585 0.412703 0.545433
2025-03-23 0.070123 0.109170 0.160767 0.232020 0.325777 0.442780 0.597439
2025-03-30 0.062790 0.102198 0.155887 0.231932 0.334198 0.464185 0.638791
2025-04-06 0.056376 0.095827 0.151182 0.231504 0.341751 0.484295 0.678621
2025-04-13 0.050753 0.090019 0.146713 0.230897 0.348700 0.503463 0.717361
2025-04-20 0.046623 0.086035 0.144464 0.233067 0.359226 0.527341 0.762531
2025-04-27 0.043993 0.084122 0.145024 0.239100 0.375092 0.558546 0.817879
2025-05-04 0.040042 0.079843 0.141926 0.239887 0.383959 0.581032 0.862891
2025-05-11 0.037298 0.077293 0.141257 0.244137 0.397785 0.610552 0.917994
2025-05-18 0.035557 0.076283 0.142882 0.251825 0.416724 0.647512 0.983958
2025-05-25 0.031972 0.071648 0.138352 0.249755 0.421158 0.664159 1.022194
2025-06-01 0.029197 0.068185 0.135455 0.249986 0.428860 0.685437 1.067126
2025-06-08 0.026411 0.064393 0.131710 0.248590 0.433921 0.702897 1.106887
2025-06-15 0.024998 0.063116 0.132148 0.253890 0.449248 0.735395 1.168395
2025-06-22 0.022872 0.060175 0.129457 0.253858 0.456231 0.755770 1.212884
2025-06-29 0.020885 0.057295 0.126651 0.253433 0.462475 0.775067 1.256043
2025-07-06 0.019053 0.054528 0.123838 0.252801 0.468268 0.793699 1.298445
2025-07-13 0.017758 0.052795 0.122812 0.255140 0.478799 0.819548 1.351715